O‘ZBEKISTONNING JSTGA QO‘SHILISHINING IQTISODIY OQIBATLARI: IMKONIYATLAR VA POTENSIAL XATARLAR
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23834939Annotatsiya
Mazkur maqolada O‘zbekistonning Jahon Savdo Tashkilotiga (JST) qo‘shilishining iqtisodiy oqibatlari savdo liberallashuvi, eksport-import dinamikasi, ishlab chiqarish tarmoqlarining raqobatbardoshligi, investitsiyalar, xizmatlar sektori, mehnat bozori va institutsional islohotlar nuqtayi nazaridan kompleks tahlil qilinadi. Tadqiqotda O‘zbekiston bo‘yicha mavjud hisoblashga asoslangan umumiy muvozanat (CGE) modellari, Markaziy Osiyo mamlakatlariga oid empirik va ssenariy tahlillari, JSTga qo‘shilishning iqtisodiy o‘sishga ta’sirini baholovchi tadqiqotlar hamda Jahon banki, JST va O‘zbekiston Milliy statistika qo‘mitasi ma’lumotlari umumlashtirilgan. Natijalar JSTga a’zolikning iqtisodiy samarasi faqat boj stavkalarining pasayishiga emas, balki xizmatlar savdosini liberallashtirish, savdo xarajatlarini kamaytirish, raqobat muhitini yaxshilash, xorijiy investitsiyalarni jalb etish va ichki institutlarni xalqaro qoidalarga moslashtirish darajasiga ham bog‘liqligini ko‘rsatadi. Mavjud CGE hisob-kitoblariga ko‘ra, import bojlari 20, 50 va 80 foizga qisqartiriladigan ssenariylarda real YAIM mos ravishda 0,2; 0,3 va 0,4 foizga oshishi mumkin. Jahon bankining kengroq islohotlar ssenariysida esa JST integratsiyasining YAIMga ta’siri 10 foizdan ortishi, investitsiya omili hisobga olinganda 17 foizgacha yetishi mumkinligi baholangan. Shu bois JSTga a’zolikni ishlab chiqarish unumdorligi, eksport diversifikatsiyasi, xizmatlar va xususiy investitsiyalarni rivojlantirishga xizmat qiluvchi institutsional platforma sifatida shakllantirish muhim ahamiyat kasb etadi.Kalit soʻzlar
Jahon Savdo Tashkiloti, JSTga qo‘shilish, savdo liberallashuvi, boj tariflari, eksport, import, CGE modeli, iqtisodiy o‘sish, raqobatbardoshlik, xorijiy investitsiyalar, xizmatlar savdosi, O‘zbekistonFoydalanilgan adabiyotlar roʻyxati
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